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Six months of crime reported within 2.0 miles of down-town Eaton Rapids.
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Source
The city of Eaton Rapids has a population of 5200. The surrounding area has a population density of approximately 100 per-square-mile. All-in, that is about 6000 people.
The city of Lansing has a population density of approximately 3200 people-per-square-mile. If I chose a 1.0 mile radius then the sample would include about 10k. If I chose a radius of 1/2 mile, then the sample would be about 2500 people.
I chose the 1/2 mile radius. If it is important to you to compare equal populations when comparing to Eaton Rapids, then simply double the number of reported crime shown at the top of the image.
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Downtown Lansing. All of the remaining images are 1/2 mile radius so they have 1/16th the area and half the population of the Eaton Rapids map.
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West Side
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East Side
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Near South Side
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Country-club South Side
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South Side, Section 8 rich. Where you see a number, like the "18" on the left side of the image, it means that multiple reports were made at this address. In this case, it was 18 reports of stalking/threats.
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To quote John Wilder "Better to leave the city a year early rather than a day too late.
Always true...
ReplyDeleteLooks to me like it would be a good idea to at least get north of M-10---ken
ReplyDeleteIn the rural areas, crimes as petty as porch pirating can lead to capital punishment. Rural residents know law enforcement is probably at least 15 minutes away, trespassing is interpreted as a threat to life, and sheriff's deputies know they won't have to chase down another druggie that made a serious mistake.
ReplyDeleteI agree; it looks like the further you can get from that mess, the better.
ReplyDeleteI should look up our crime here; much of it is passing along the interstate, but a chunk is local too...
I'd like to be further out, but I still need to get to work in a reasonable time.
A wide man once said "Stay away from crowds". He meant it in a vague, all encompassing sort of way.
ReplyDeleteI used to live wedged between what you have as Country Club South and Near South Side.
ReplyDeleteIt is, or was at least, very pockety. You'd have 3-4x3-4 block sections of well maintained houses, quiet streets and nice neighbors. The house prices and relatively lack of rental properties acted as a lower middle class/established working class filter. Some really good value properties used to be there, especially if your kids were before school age or already older than k12 educstion (or private schools).
However, in our pocket, the balance of improving vs decay forces seemed to shift slightly around 2018 from improving/maintaining to slightly decaying. Crime that used to be 8 blocks away was 5 or 6, some stores weren't maintained as well, empty storefront let to shady mattress store instead of better business.
Cov-venture put the boot in, and brutally. LPD announced policy of not coming out in person for many crimes. Lack of police presence/greater freedom for crime to flourish. Then bank pulled out of the local shopping center leaving more vacant space. Then declining profits meant a full service grocery store turned into a discount damamged goods outlet and then closed. This was the final nail in the coffin. Without walkable shopping there was minimal reason to be out and about meeting people, empty space invites shady shit and lower police presence doesnt help. The schools always imposed an upper limit on desirability, but now our pocket went from a cute walkable pocket with bank/grocery/doctor within a short walk to just another commuter neighborhood with bad schools and shootings/drive bys happening 2 blocks away from the pocket and not 8.
We started looking semi-seriously aroubd 2018 and moved away as the store turned into discount outlet. Pefect timing, which means we shoulda left 2 years earlier so as to not require luck.
On phone so not the most coherent narrative, but I thought the on-the-ground might pair well with the maps.
Also, be very careful of trusting the LPD data. From my memory of the pandemic they were basically telling people off and on to not even call for crimes where blood wasn't spilled or the criminal wasnt still there. My memory is crime went up, but much of their data shows it going down. I know nextdoor reports/news was morr and more crime, closer and closer. But the "data" disconnected from the reporting issues looks different.
I agree on the very, very local nature of neighborhood stability.
ReplyDeleteI lived in the Allen Street School neighborhood for about seven years and saw the transition from widows (from the families who had moved in during the 1930s and 40s) moving out. Some streets were replaced by new families and owner-occupied. Other streets, sometimes on the same block, were flipped to rentals.
We moved out when a house two doors down seemed to become an outlet for undocumented pharmaceuticals based on traffic patterns and the clientele. One of the residents of the UP house was the daughter of a city counselperson.
Thanks for sharing the tool ERJ. Apparently not every municipality or county subscribes, which was a bit disappointing.
ReplyDeleteI do miss Ol' Remus.