Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Why do people spend a disproportionate amount of time on food-security?

I put myself into the shoes of a person who might never have given much thought to the potential disintegration of society. One of the questions that such a person might ask is:

If the Rule of Threes implies that the fastest ways to die are to be stupid (three seconds), lose oxygen or blood (three minutes), exposure (three hours), dehydration (three days)...then why is so much more attention paid to food-security which might take three weeks (to three months) to result in death?

Three answers

1.) If the threat is across-the-board and everybody is exposed to it, the number of people who are close enough to your supply to be a threat to you is proportional to the amount of time the victims have before losing consciousness.

How many people could learn about and raid your pantry in three weeks? How many could figure out that you have a wood-stove and break-into your house in three hours? In the case of thirst, how many streams and puddles would a goblin have to walk past before they helped themselves to your supply?

2.) Dehydration and hypothermia result in lethargy and numbing of senses before death. In contrast, hunger makes people more observant. Most notably, hunger increases our ability to smell things by at least ten-fold. Hunger makes people smarter. Hunger makes them more aggressive right up until they slip into a coma. Hunger makes most people dangerous.

3.) Producing food is seasonal and there are very long lag-times. 

Assuming you already have a garden-tools-and-seeds, you might be able to harvest radishes and turnip-greens 28 days after planting the seeds, snap-peas, green beans and cucumbers 55 days, early potatoes and sweet corn at 70 days and so-on. Main-season crops, the heavy-lifters in terms of calorie production, might run 100 days.

If you buy a ewe that has been bred, you are looking at one-year before you have a fat lamb to slaughter. If you bought a bred-heifer, you are looking at 2-1/2 years before you have young beef. 

If you bought chicks, then you have to feed them human-quality food for four months before you have a snowball's chance of getting eggs. This is different from sheep and cows because they can eat food that humans cannot eat...grass, twigs, standing hay (i.e., the dried grass in that vacant lot or abandoned field) so they are not directly competing with humans for food.

Small-fruits are relatively fast. Everbearing strawberries will produce the summer you plant them. Other small fruits will produce modest amounts in the early years as the bush fills out its allotted space, but you should be getting full crops in three years.

Tree fruits and nuts CAN produce in two or four years but that is for intensive and expensive systems. More traditional, free-standing orchards are in the three-year to ten-year time horizon.

In contrast, harvesting rainwater can be as simple as running the downspout from your gutters into a barrel. Unless you have Chernobyl level pollution, boiling or filtering will give you potable water shortly after your first rainfall. Or, you can risk temporary diarrhea and drink it straight out of the barrel.

Those are the reasons why people who do not wish to become refugees seem to focus overly-much on food security: High external threats and long lead-times relative to how long it takes to starve to death. 

Bonus link

Greenhouses in Michigan's Upper Peninsula destroyed by heavy snowfall and winds. Hat-tip to Coyote Ken. 

Tuesday, April 21, 2026

Why "Russian" Dachas all look alike

My most prolific commenter "Anonymous" posted the following comment on the previous post:

"The Russian's images are very reminiscent of some of the Ukrainian village video scenes you have been linking to."

There are reasons for that.

People who live on the knife's-edge do not exhibit risk-seeking behaviors. There is already too much "risk" hunting them for comfort. They have no reason to go looking for more risk. 

If something works, they don't experiment. If something provably better comes along (electric or gas motors, disease resistant staple food crops, LED lights, synthetic fertilizers or pesticides) they jump on-board. Otherwise, they "...dance with the one that brung-ya".

As I watch these videos of these "dacha" that have been upgraded into life-boats I see the following commonalities:

  • SERIOUS fences and gates
  • Poultry
  • A grape arbor
  • Apple trees
  • Walnut trees
  • Hazelnut bushes
  • A multitude of small-fruit species (raspberries, currants, elderberries, strawberries, gooseberries, viburnum species...)
  • Stone fruits
  • Pears
  • Potatoes, lots of potatoes
  • Root cellars 
  • Garden seedlings started in every available window 
  • A well that can be worked when there is no electricity
  • Cats...lots of cats
  • Fishing (also feeds the cats)
  • Milk animals, if not on-property then kept by a nearby neighbor (feeds the cats) 
  • A dog, often small-to-very small 
  • Flowers
  • Flavoring herbs (often in pots to bring inside during the winter). 
  • A way to heat with wood
  • A way to cook with wood (often outside)
  • Trailers, a way to leverage the ability to haul cargo
  • Buckets, shovels, rakes, knives, trowels
  • Bees (not universal, but common)
  • Pumpkins for oil-seed and to grind for animal feed 
  • Icons on the wall (not universal, but common) 

What I do not see

  • Extensive lawns
  • Garages exclusively devoted to storing automobiles
  • Any signs of liquid fuels stored on the property 
  • Backpacks 
  • Llama, emus, ostrich, pigeons, bison, yaks, Scottish Highland cattle, water-buffalo, cashmere or dwarf goats, small swine breeds, intensive aqua-culture.
  • Pictures of the current, living generations on the wall
  • Large monitors (TV, computer, gaming)
  • Recliners 
  • Pantries filled with nutritional supplements or OTC drugs
  • Extravagant consumption of alcohol or cannabis

In the for-what-it-is-worth department

I am rethinking my Juglans regia walnut trees. I have a scant handful of them on my property but never really worked to get any return on them. In my mind they have been more like minor trophies (like my 6th grade diploma) rather than as a serious investment.

Before. This picture downplays the amount of vines in the canopy.

 
After

I spent part of today pruning dead-wood and pulling vines out of the canopies. I sprayed herbicide on the vegetation beneath them and will throw some fertilizer around them in a couple of weeks. Most important, I will cobble together some kind of squirrel guards to minimize losses.

I also marked several black walnut seedlings suitable for grafting. And I reached out to a friend who is brilliant in these kinds of things and asked for a cram-course on "How do I make these trees excellent investments". 

Is it "soup" yet?

I saw Pavlo's father put a dollop of sour cream into some heated, home-canned tomatoes and eat it as soup.

BRILLIANT!!!

It is pretty easy to put up +50 quarts of tomatoes but I am not always ambitious enough to use them in cooking. But...if "cooking" means heating some stewed tomatoes, adding some sliced up tortillas for noodles and adding some sour cream...well, what the heck. I can do that.

More for-what-it-is-worth

Music makes our brains grow.

Today's Quicksilver music moment was the introduction to The Lone Ranger. Yes, I know it has an official name...but Quicksilver likes horses. Her comment as she watched the video was "His horse runs really fast." Quicksilver can learn the fancy-schmancy stuff later.

Tomorrow's music will be John Denver's "Thank God I'm a Country Boy". She objected to my singing that while I was driving because she thought I was making up as I sang it. I chose this version because the video has motion which makes a difference in terms of keeping her attention...also...it is more interesting to watch singers demonstrating the lyrics than it is to watch the singers performing on a stage.

Ouch!

Daily Timewaster

Perfect picture. Perfect title.

Looking at Archie Bunker and Redd Foxx...try adding almost twenty years to that number!

I am old enough to remember when comedians were actually funny rather than "edgy". 

Fine Art Tuesday

 

Titled "Their Eyes were Opened", from Luke 24:30,31

G.E. Mullan was born in Tyler, Texas (USA) in 1943 and died in San Antonio in 2015 at the age of 72. He painted in the "Santa Fe" style and frequently painted religious and American Indian themes.




A tip of the old fedora to Dwight Ezop for suggesting this artist 

Today will be a Two-fer

Nicolai Ivanovich Barchenkov was born in 1918 about 40 miles north of Moscow and died in 2002. 






While tireless gets the credit for suggesting this artist

Tireless on his way to the trading post to pick up supplies

 


Monday, April 20, 2026

Still here. Still working.

 

This showed up in the mail today

Also today.

Believe it or not, there are six grafts of King David apple on this tree. All marked with orange yarn. Mrs ERJ gently asked when she would be getting her refrigerator back, so I am grafting what I can and NOT putting the extra scion back into the fridge for "just-in-case" situations.

Looking due-south across the Hill Orchard from the pole barn. I have seen parking lots in West Virginia that were steeper than this...but in Michigan, this qualifies as a slope.

In a semi-panorama, this is looking west, up the hill, from the same place.

I hunted this property for many, many years. I believe that this much of it has not been mowed for at least ten years.
 
60 minutes grafting and picking up trash. 75 minutes mowing.
 
So far, it looks like we dodged the bullet on the frost-freeze last night. Time will tell. 

A man has to know his limitations

Leigh, a reader of this blog and an author of several books poses the question..."Is Homesteading a Dying Trend?" on April 2.

The gentleman who runs the Possum Ridge video channel addressed some of that question in THIS video. Very briefly summarized, everything has positive momentum when you are starting out. You have new(er) equipment, new fence, new soil and are younger. Every year you can look back and see progress. At some point, the maintenance requirements grow to exceed the "fun" level and growth stops or even reverses.

My take on the subject is that many people get sucked into the myth that they can do it all. They can be:

  • Blacksmith
  • Welder
  • Mason
  • Carpenter
  • Electrician
  • Plumber 
  • Mechanic 
  • Weaver
  • Spinner
  • Fix fences 
  • Sheep sheerer
  • Butcher 
  • Tan hides 
  • Doctor
  • Vet
  • Herbalist 
  • Hunter
  • Fisher
  • Gatherer
  • Make soap 
  • Cheese-maker
  • Brewer
  • Winemaker 
  • Baker
  • Artist 
  • Grafter
  • Apple picker 
  • Dig wells 
  • Lumberjack 
  • General Laborer

There was a time when family or neighbors who had mastered those skills were on-tap and available with just a phone call. If you needed a crew of 10 people for an afternoon getting hay off the field, you could find them.

Good luck with that now.

For the record, I hired my nephew to "fix the riding mower". I am not sure what it needs but I trust him. I loaned him a copy of the key to the pole-barn. He trusts me to pay him. He is a busy guy and I might not get it back before July...but it will get fixed.

"A good man always knows his limitations." Harry Callahan 

A day of rest....

 

I got a call from somebody who scheduled a pump-out for their septic tank Monday 9:00 a.m. She needed help finding her septic tank...
Note for the future: 12 feet north of the southwest corner of her house (between 9 and 10 blocks) and about 12 east.
58 minutes to mow the Upper Orchard. It will go more slowly when the grass is thicker. The fact that I didn't have to mow between the trees where I spray herbicide made it go more quickly.

I was able to mow an additional 34 minutes on the Hill Orchard before I ran out of gas.

More mowing planed for Monday.

---Note added Monday at 5:00 a.m. Our thermometer reads 30F which is MUCH better than the 24F to 25F that had been predicted. Two more hours until sunrise. Maybe we will get lucky and dodge a bullet.---

Bonus Video


 

Sunday, April 19, 2026

A few pictures

 

I saw these on a persimmon tree in my yard

Chrysalis (cocoons)
From the internet

Prometheus Moth chrysalis

Luna Moth chrysalis

Seedling update

It has been three weeks since most of these seeds were started. 


 
The lovage is starting to show true-leaves.
It is not all skittles-and-cream soda

Something is impacting the older Stupice tomato leaves

Bottom of leaf

These bumps look like aphids but don't move when I scrape them. Puzzling. I am going to treat it as if it was due to excessive fertilizer (note the purple) and put them on a well-water diet for a week.

And...we lost a duck today. They found a way out of the garden enclosure and were waddling around the yard. Then, a few hours later three of the four were back into the enclosure and there was no sign of the fourth one.

Coyotes and fox have their pups and kits to feed. My fault for not addressing the Great Duck Escape.