“In Washington, D.C., most gun violence is very tightly concentrated on a small number (between 200 and 500) of very high risk young Black male adults that have a shared set of common risk factors,” says David Muhammad, the executive director of the National Institute for Criminal Justice Reform. “This very small number of high risk individuals are identifiable. Their violence is predictable and therefore it is preventable.” Source
According to the study, there is significant overlap between victims of homicides and the suspects who commit them, in terms of life circumstances and risk factors. Many are involved in groups, which the study defined as a neighborhood crew, clique, or gang...
More than 90% of homicide victims and homicide suspects in 2019 and 2020 were male, and about 96% were Black. Nearly half were formerly incarcerated, and about 86% of them were known to the criminal justice system in some way. And, the study found, victims in homicides and suspects in these cases were “remarkably similar” when it came to prior arrests. Most had been arrested for property crimes, drug crimes, and unarmed violent offenses prior to the shooting or homicide, and had on average been arrested approximately 11 times.
It is a short article. It does not blame the availability of firearms.
When I worked for a Plant that was closing, both Management and the Union honchos were reading the same book on workplace violence. The authors concluded that it was very difficult to precisely predict WHEN violence would occur but they said that the best predictor of WHO would commit it was somebody with a prior history of using violence to get what they wanted or to resolve problems.
The authors of the book that Management was reading also stated that the "classic" workplace violence involved a woman who left one man and had (presumably) taken up with another who worked in the same facility where she worked. The ex-lover would find a way to enter the facility and confront the perceived threat to his relationship.
Things would escalate. Sometimes the second romance interest had no idea of what the woman told the first romance interest. That is, she was using the second guy as a reason to dump the first guy...the second guy was just an excuse...she was tired of tired of the first guy and she didn't want to be the heavy.
A gun would come out. Bullets would fly. There would be collateral casualties.
Of course that will be downplayed as 'raciss'... sigh
ReplyDeleteI bet you a nickel that David Mohammed, the author of the study, is African-American.
DeleteNo need to bet, the fact the study saw the light of day is a guarantee.
DeleteThe assumption gun violence is preventable by any 'intervention' short of long-term incarceration is the real joke here.
I knew a woman whose dad owned a shop in Del-Ray (Corn Pop worked there) in Detroit back in the day.
ReplyDeleteHe had a policy of everyone checking their gun with her at the start of the shift and taking them home after work.
They never had an incident.
Law enforcement has known of the major contribution to crime rates by a small group of prolific criminals for many years. That's why police used major crime units and career criminal teams in the 80's and 90's. What's old is new again...
ReplyDeleteA lot of guys have gone to prison...or the morgue, because a lot of women LOVE that game called "Lets you and him fight". Where they precipitate drama and conflict and then get the men in their lives to fight....to satisfy her need for drama. It's a game ALL men should know about, understand and refuse to be a part of.
ReplyDeleteAin't never found me a piece worth going to jail for.
DeleteNow granted I ain't had as many as some but, I just don't see it that way.
From what I've read, this is true in pretty much any city in the US.
ReplyDeleteWhen cities have had programs focusing on these problem men, they've seen significant drops in violence.