Friday, March 25, 2022

A house divided cannot stand

Bleak thoughts

For those of you who are new to this, this is Matt Bracken's Civil War II Cube. Mr Bracken identifies three primary fracture planes that are likely to come into-play during social disintegration.

It is a tidy thought-tool. Perhaps too tidy. It suggests that the fracture planes can be avoided geographically. That is unlikely to be the case.

There is a fourth fracture plane that needs to be taken into consideration: Young/Old

Snowflakes

...snowflakes live in their own sheltered echo chambers in which opposing opinions are quelled rather than debated. Snowflakes are also overly self-entitled, averse to any form of criticism and holding the belief that their emotions take precedent over discussion.   (Source)

Additionally, snowflakes believe emotions take precedents over facts and that they are not accountable for secondary effects (WHAT! You mean I have to pay back my loans?)

Young correlates to Poor-Urban-Dark in the CW2. Consequently they affiliate with that corner even if they are otherwise Rich-Rural-White. After all, they wanna be cool and edgy.

We cannot escape the young: 

  • Younger family members
  • Food service people
  • Delivery drivers
  • Certified Nursing Assistants 

Many/most are envious. Many/most have been brainwashed into believing that private property is evil. Many/most will feel righteous about taking what they feel should be theirs.

Food security

Food is power. Food can be a weapon when there are chronic shortages. If you have food, hungry people will give up autonomy to feed their kids. They will let you mine their minerals and debase your currency.

Any reasonable first-order approximation suggests that Americans will never go hungry. We have too much great farmland. We have very productive farmers and good infrastructure.

What the first-order approximation misses is the food-as-a-weapon angle. If we are the swing-producer and our volume/quality can set prices the way Saudi oil used to set prices on the oil market, then the United States and Canada become the dominant players on the world stage without firing a shot.

The logical implications is that meat will become very, very expensive as meat is a calorie sink. There are 16 million cattle in feed-lots at any given moment. They average 40 pounds of feed a day and half of that (20 pounds) is grain. The beef cattle in feedlots are consuming enough grain and beans to feed 320,000,000 people.

There are about 9 million dairy cows in the United States and they are fed enough concentrate to feed another 225 million people.

Neither of the two previous paragraphs considers the grain fed to younger cattle.

Hogs and chickens are more efficient at converting grain to meat but every link in the food chain has losses. 

Reread the story of the Prodigal Son. "He longed to eat the pods (beans/peas) that he fed the hogs". Most modern readers miss the implications of how dire the Prodigal Son's circumstances were and just how desperate he was. Remember, pigs are "unclean" to the Jews and it was unthinkable to consider eating the same food they ate. A modern re-write might read "...he changed diapers at an old-folks home and longed to eat the undigested kernels of sweet-corn in the dirty diapers."

Given the evidence we currently have of the deep-state, is there any doubt in your mind that they will guide events and make half-a-billion people their slaves?

Socially, look for every publication and news show suddenly discovering "Health risks of Keto and Paleo diets". Expect meat taxes and the draconian enforcement of "humanitarian" and pollution regulations to choke producers. Also expect additional crushing of meat processing plants. "Knock, knock...Immigration calling"

It is already baked into the cake. Count on it. If meat is an important part of your diet then you are screwed. Buy ahead. Freeze it. Have a plan to transition to "lentils" because your body will punish you if you change over cold-turkey.


13 comments:

  1. Commercial beef breeds that are dependent on huge amounts of corn aren't going to be sustainable, but breeds that do well on forage, even poor forage, will last longer.

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    1. Modern beef cattle are selected to produce a 1350 pound animal with 3/8" fat covering at 18 months of age.

      The breeds and feed regimen you are talking about are smaller breeds which produce "skimpy" looking cuts of meat when packaged in standard, foam plastic trays. Yes, the animals are sized to fit the tray. Smaller animals also require more labor-per-pound than larger animals.

      Everything you wrote is true. Smaller-framed lines of British breeds will work but will not pull top-dollar at auction. And many times the difference between top-dollar and bottom-dollar is the difference between annual profit or another year of losses.

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    2. Isn't 18 months still considered Baby Beef? Used to be back in the "90's when I raised beef for personal use.
      I wanted to acquire this 20 acre plot and sell this "healthy" beef that was supposedly lower in fat in cholesterol and fat than chicken breast. But the wife wouldn't go for it. I had a ready made market with University Professors and 3 major medical centers in the area. Oh well.
      Supposedly feed lots didn't like them because you can't fatten them up. There was a rancher down the road that sold them and another Heritage Breed.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piedmontese_cattle

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    3. Piedmontese are double-muscled. Very impressive looking.

      My understanding of the physiology is that bone and frame grows first, then muscle, then fat.

      The longer it takes to hit-the-weight target, the more feed is wasted on meeting maintenance requirements, the more connective tissue develops between muscle fiber (i.e. meat is tough) and the fewer 'turns" on the financing per year.

      At one time it was considered acceptable to take 60 months to hit market-weight. Then the USDA made a big push to demonstrate the economics of feeding grain in the 1930s. That timing was not an accident. Farm prices were low and feeding it to animals was one way to make mountains of grain disappear.

      Delete
  2. Home canned meat for the win! In January, we opened a home canned pint jar of venison stew meat from 2007 that had been lingering in the way way back of the cupboard.

    It was perfectly preserved and still delicious...

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    Replies
    1. Pressure canning is a great way to turn old, tough animals into great stews and burrito meat. The connective tissue between muscle fibers becomes flavor.

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  3. Those are bleak thoughts, ERJ, but I appreciate the weaving in of the prodigal son story, which, beyond its hard learned lesson, has a positive ending message for believers.

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  4. You really nailed that one, ERJ. I think you are spot on. ---ken

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  5. There are problems coming, for sure. However, I think anyone who comes up with tidy distinctions, as you suggest, is oversimplifying the problem.
    I think we'll see lots of exceptions to any 'rule' applied on a national basis.
    Like real estate, conflict has both local and national factors that affect it, with added 'bonuses' of religion, ethnicity, politics, etc.
    All we can do is to prepare to survive and protect what matters most.

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  6. We have two Red Brangus calves on our pasture. We try to ration the grass bale and sugar cane as judiciously as possible, because the pair both tend to jerk the food apart to chew, thus falling to ground and is wasted. Taking the bale, pulling apart like cotton candy and then releasing it seems to stop a lot of that waste.

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  7. Not mentioned are the small cow/calf operations. By small, I mean herds of up to 3,000 head or so. They forage mostly rangeland with some locally grown alfalfa. Beef has not been a supply issue here. Well, except the severe 100 yr drought.

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  8. Prescient again re demonization of keto, etc. Just up on Zerohedge: MSNBC Piece Claims 'Health & Fitness' Is New Gateway Drug To The Far-Right.

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  9. Don't forget cost and availability of transportation in the food discussion. The current administration and other do-gooders believe that "clean and free" energy (wind and solar) is here already, so all that is needed is to make conventional energy scarce. After all, The Fed has kept capital free for the last 14 years, so what is the holdup? Back to food, all of it is produced far from the consumers on the coasts. Energy is required to produce, process and preserve, and transport to consumer, so costs of all food will go up. Stock up now!

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