Covid-19 data for Michigan

1953 positive tests for Covid-19 on April 3.

Six days later, Michigan had 202 deaths attributed to Covid-19, or 10.3% of the cases diagnosed six days prior.

If I could find a bookie, I would bet that the average number of Covid-19 deaths in Michigan for the next five days will be 150 a day. Then, about mid-April, the numbers will start to taper down.

That pretty, bell-shaped curve in the news is wrong. It will look more like a sand dune with a long, dragged out tail to the right.