Frost on the barn's roof this morning.
Resilience vs Anti-fragility
Resilience or robustness is the ability to deliver an acceptable outcome in spite of foreseeable variation in circumstances or inputs.
Anti-fragility is the ability to get stronger when exposed to variation in circumstances or inputs. Anti-fragility is common in biological systems.
The weakness of "resilience" is that it is vulnerable to circumstances that were not foreseeable while anti-fragility is agnostic toward unforeseeable events.
It is a fool's game to speculate about what event will unleash the accumulating potential-energy of our strained social systems. Who would have guessed that Archduke Ferdinand getting capped with a mouse-gun would have triggered WWI and then due to the punitive treaty of Versailles slumped into WWII?
"Paranoid Preppers" realize that while specific events in the future are unknowable people will still need several thousand Calories of food every day and a warm, dry, safe place to sleep.
Sleeping bags are the cheapest, warm blankets you can buy and they continue to keep you warm even if the electricity shuts off.
Firearms
One of the supreme ironies of the Hamas attack on Israel is that they attacked a "music rave" with a "give peace a chance" theme. Multiple concert goers were murdered and many were kidnapped and carted back to Gaza to be used as human shields.
The most cynical will point to this and suggest that it has all of the markings of a Mossad/Deep State operation. Let me point out that Hamas and Iran don't seem to want peace, either.
This is where you should be thinking two thoughts:
- Why would anybody attend a "Woodstock" like event scant miles from a porous border near a sworn enemy of your country?
- Would events have unfolded differently if 5% of the concert goers had ready-access to long-guns with paper-plate-at-100-yards proficiency?
I will go out on a limb and say that nearly anybody can be trained to that degree of accuracy with 2 hours of practice with a .22LR long-gun and an optical sight. They might be shooting off of a field-expedient support...but they will be hitting the paper plate eight-times-out-of-ten.
If you have no "experts" available and want to purchase a fire-arm today, if you have the pockets for it, a Ruger 10/22 with a polymer stock and extra magazines is a very defensible choice for a beginner. I like the optics of the Simmons .22 Mag scope but there is much to be said for a shake-to-stay-awake red-dot scope like the Sig ROMEO 5 if it will mount on your weapon. 250 rounds of 40 grain ammo currently runs about $20.
Emasculation
Another parallel between Exodus and our modern times is that the Pharaoh commands that all male babies born to Jewish mothers be murdered. This is one of the parallelisms in the Bible...Herod commands that the same be done to the babies of Bethlehem shortly after Jesus is born.
The new social order seems to be intent on castrating males at every turn. The ones they do not castrate they infantilize (cannot be held responsible for their own actions).
Reparations
How long before Sweden, Britain and Texas start handing immigrants from Somali, Nigeria and Haiti fliers telling them that San Francisco, California has plans to give "reparations" of $5,000,000 to descendants former slaves?
...3...2...1....
Keep your loved ones close and stay away from crowds.
First, thanks for repeating Ol' Remus' crowd avoidance advice.
ReplyDeleteSecond, count me among the more cynical. This Hamas incursion has many earmarks of a false flag/engineered operation.
Amen. False flag for sure.
Delete1) I respectfully disagree with Anon 9:20. Iran and their proxy are taking advantage of the Fool in Chief and his circus clown cabinet. A full blown war in the Middle East now is their best chance of success. We don't have any spare munitions, parts or fuel to send to the IMF.
ReplyDelete2) Being able to shoot is good but you need some basic stress harding to fight. There are three states in combat, fight, flee or freeze and two are sub optimum. A little friendly competition using a timer is a good start.
A mini-biathalon setup is also useful to simulate stress.
DeleteSafe the weapon (open action if possible). Sprint 50 yards, walk back. Pick up weapon and fire to a timer.
Our brains are brilliant in some ways but easy to trick/train in others. Neurons that fire together, wire together. Running stokes many of the nerve bundles panic does.
Physical stress is good- running then shooting is a useful method. Mental stress is better.
DeleteI've found it useful in training to use a small package of firecrackers with the fuse lit and tossed behind the shooter. I have the student do it to me first to show it can be done, and you want a smooth clean surface for the crackers to land on to avoid secondary missiles. It can flat rattle you even when you have been warned to expect some loud noises. It definitely gets the heart pounding. Best to run this drill with empty weapons on target the first time to be sure that muzzles do not stray.
Once that is verified, then you can tell the shooter to present and fire once they hear the first bang.
Physical fitness, at least at a level above "minimum" aids greatly in hitting one's target. Poor physical fitness can be accommodated by using a rest, but the culture should discourage that in favor of better fitness.
ReplyDeleteRE: the "5% with rifles" - a country like Israel, surrounded by enemies, issues AR-15s to its military. All good and well, but that's a bit much for the average Joe and Jane. Instead, a simple 10-round 15" barreled semi-auto rifle with a self-contained magazine - think "Russian SKS" in 7.62X39 but better made - with generic Lyman- or Williams-style peep or ghost ring sights for 100 meter use. Cheap and disposable, simple to operate, "minute of 6" desert plate at 100M" is accurate enough.
Fire 10, hit with 7, toss the rifle in the bushes and leave.
Even a decent lever action rifle in 357 Magnum would work, except training on the proper way to run a lever rifle would consume more training time. Putting the 30 caliber M1 carbine back into production would work, but it requires too much machining time to be cheap enough.
A Hi Point carbine is pretty close to what you describe. A Ruger PC carbine, Marlin Camp, etc are a step up from there.
DeleteFor portability and concealability, a Keltec sub 2k would be good, though not great at any distance...
I have heard, and believe I saw in some videos posted online, examples of AR pattern rifles being used by Palestinians. Rumor is they are imports we left behind in Afghanistan! Bravo Joe, bravo! Also heavy weapons from Ukraine are being alleged... shocked, SHOCKED I SAY!
DeleteWorth the read:
ReplyDeletehttps://www.2ndsmartestguyintheworld.com/p/psyop-israel-war?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=400535&post_id=137773683&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=2mnul&utm_medium=email
Don't believe the media.
I can't believe the goober-ish comments over at 2nd smartest. I know blogs accumulate jetsam & flotsam but good night!
DeleteHonestly, commenters actually saying biden's $6B to Iran enabled Iran to pay for this operation.....as if you can spin up a multi-pronged attack in a month or two. An incursion with scores of fueled up vehicles ready. Who had all this fuel and travel ready vehicles (in border sealed Gaza!). An incursion with trained paraglider crews and multiple high speed boats..an incursion preceded by THOUSANDS of rockets & missiles.
Then there was the entire "FALSE FLAG" floozies. I'm not even going to touch that insanity
SMDH
I'm sure the powers that be appreciate your strong endorsement of the official narrative. I mean it's not like they weren't completely honest about Pearl Harbor, Gulf of Tonkin, JFK, RFK, 9-11, weapons of mass destruction/yellowcake, Russian collusion, Covid, vax, J6 etc., etc. I bet you are a Fleetwood Mac fan. "Don't Stop Believin'" brother.
DeleteI don't know about false flag... I don't think it would be necessary. They are always ready to fight, especially with funding and encouragement from Iran.
ReplyDeleteCould warning signs have been ignored or not passed on? Definitely a possibility!
Some people say that Israel has been distracted by politics, which could be a contributing factor. Given your description of the rave, I suspect the quota of oblivious peaceniks has grown there in recent years, which certainly doesn't help either.
J
The IDF allowed itself to be distracted and the Israeli civilians became complacent. Only fools would gather hundreds of unarmed targets within a mile of a fence behind which exists many thousands of savages seeking to kill them. There is no shortage of blame to go around for this debacle. Israel also has some of the strictest gun control laws on the planet. And the Jews accept that. In fact many support it. And here in America vast numbers of Jews want Americans disarmed. It's almost as if the typical Jew is suicidal, refusing to accept responsibility for their own personal defense.
ReplyDeleteI'd read a blog that makes a good point. Many firearm training focuses on shooting handguns rather than long guns (i.e. rifles). Gun ranges for lessor powered handguns and shotguns can be found on smaller properties. Ranges with 300 yard and further are much more rare because of cost of property (much like a golf course) and perceived danger to neighboring property.
ReplyDeleteHandguns will defend your life and the lives of your family in shorter spaces. Sometimes, a much longer distance is required to defend yourself. How many times do we practice at longer ranges (200 yards and >) to measure how well we do when wind and distance become a factor ? I know other than verifying our zero with deer rifles (3 - 4 shots easily confirm that), shooting like that has not been done lately.
Might be a good time to change that.
RE: Anonymous October 8, 2023 at 11:41 AM
ReplyDeleteA pistol caliber carbine is better than a handgun but still limited to <100 meters with non-magnum cartridges.
RE: Anonymous October 9, 2023 at 7:36 AM
Research "Point Blank Range" - it is NOT "right in front of the gun " as Hollywood has been claiming for....forever. It is "the maximum distance at which a hit may be made on a target of specified size using a center hold with a specified rifle and specified ammunition from the muzzle to that maximum distance"
For 5.56X45, 7.62X39, .125-140 grain 30-30, etc. 200 meters (218.7 yards) is a good zero distance and depending on specific rifle and specific ammunition. will provide a Point Blank Range of about 290-330 yards. Learn the true trajectory of your rounds all the way out.
Pro Tip: Using standard 8.5" X 11.0" copy paper is a useful target and very cheap. Hold a sheet against your chest with the top edge at the suprasternal notch to see why. 11.0" provides 5.5" above and below the center - trajectory, trajectory, trajectory.
Initial goal should be work toward 50% hits on 8.5 X11.0 paper, standing, usupported, at 200M. Engage in physical training (weights) and cardio (breathing control) to improve to 75%.