The Bayou Renaissance Man recently wrote a thought-provoking post titled The "little things" in emergency preparedness - and the value of time and energy
This is probably a good time to play a riff on that theme with an emphasis on how "fixed costs" of enterprises incentivize specialization.
Consider making bread
A considerable amount of time is invested in kneading the bread dough, the time and conditions needed to allow the yeast to procreate and for the bread to rise. A significant expenditure in fuel is required to bring the oven up-to-heat.
Farm wives used to bake once a week. Baking bread was an all-day endeavor and if they were going to heat up their kitchen they were going to make as much bread as they could keep without spoiling.
The economics in small towns and villages were different. Since bread and beer are Siamese twins, the two businesses were often side-by-side and were often run by brothers. Both businesses use grain, yeast and heat. The waste from the bottom of the brewer's barrel was seed for the baker's sponge.
The baker could turn out breads and rolls six days a week as long as his family was supplied with flour or grain, wood, water, and the coin-of-the-realm to purchase items they did not have time to produce for themselves.
Uzbek bread-oven. An ancient design updated for gas heating. |
Once brought up-to-heat, the oven can crank-out batch-after-batch with perhaps a slight rest between batches to bring the walls back up to the optimum temperature.
This specialization was a natural outgrowth of the sunk-cost of time and fuel.
Laundry
Laundry is another enterprise that has significant sunk-costs. Water is heavy which is invisible as long as there is electricity to run pumps. It takes a lot of Joules or BTUs to heat water...again, invisible as long as the grid is up to the task and/or natural gas is available.
But if things got shaky, then it makes sense to have one person wash for multiple households. The cleanest items get washed first. And then the slightly dirtier get washed in that same water and get rinsed with fresh water. Lather, rinse, repeat. Literally.
When the wash water gets too dirty to presoak the dirtiest clothing, it can go on somebody's garden. But, by graduating from cleanest to dirtiest, the water can get an tremendous amount of use before that has to happen. That saves water. It saves soap. It saves fuel to heat the water.
As Peter over at Bayou Renaissance Man wrote..."What do these factors imply for an emergency situation? Basically, they mean we're going to spend a lot more time, and require a lot more strength and energy, to accomplish tasks that right now are performed by labor-saving devices, and/or by buying goods and services we need rather than making and/or doing them ourselves."
Specialization is not just a good idea under these circumstances, it is almost a necessity.
My most recent and profound confession/forgiveness session with our priest discussing all of the things mentioned above and all the things our instincts are hollering at us, how to prep, how to lay up extra goods, how to organize and specialize and save my family from what’s coming - his immediate one liner in response:
ReplyDeletePrepare to suffer.
A little confirmation here: I was in prayer a couple of nights back concerning just such things. What did I get back? Things are going to get worse before they get better, even for God's people... God did say though, that He would look after His people. Your priest is right. We're ALL going to suffer. There's a BIG difference though, between suffering and DYING...
DeleteMost people these days don't realize how much work ordinary life will take without modern conveniences.
ReplyDeleteAnd I believe those who do (including myself) will still be surprised by the sheer effort and time required.
As an avid reading of Smith (the base of the article discussed) the point was missed. The point was HAVING the specialists in baking and laundry as PART of YOUR OWN Village.
ReplyDeleteNot some 5000 miles away in China or such.
It was about how hyper specialization and hyperfinacialization made the Globalism Supply system "work" until some tiny "supply chain issues" made it fail.
Specialist knows how to make bread, and knows where his wheat comes from (a neighbor) a Hyper specialist can only fix computer programs and has UBER Food deliver his bread.
It is lunacy to have 12,000 pound trucks deliver metalized, mylar bags of air (potato chips) from factories three-hundred miles away. Or bottles of potable water from even farther being delivered to suburbs with perfectly potable water.
DeleteThe pendulum swings.
...The battery in your car was probably made in South Korea. Imagine the "carbon footprint" of that battery, from start to finish!!! You would think that the "greenies" would be screaming about just such things, ERJ, but they're not. "Saving the planet" is what's happening here. "Going green" simply means "Your green is going..."
DeleteThat being said, post-SHTF is going to SUCK for EVERYONE. ...Many will die...
And a lot of those Korean batteries are shipped "wet" now, with the acid already added. So the battery starts degrading immediately, and continues to degrade thru-out the several months it takes to ship over to the US and placed on some auto parts store shelf.
DeleteWhy so many "new" batteries don't seem to last like they used to, when the acid wasn't added until you bought it.
In pre powered mill societies women would spend a couple of hours a day just grinding the grain to make the daily bread for the family. Food prep of all kinds is labor intensive. Gathering wood for cooking fires is labor intensive.
ReplyDeleteAgree Kansas Kid, that's why pre-electricity folks lived close together and assisted each other in getting things done well.
ReplyDeleteAn interesting article:
https://mic-roland.com/if-the-grid-goes-down-5-lessons-from-1810/
Was just talking about this this morning with the missus. Terrible year in the garden, rabbits are feasting! What would we do if Kroger wasn't open and had Prego for 1.99 a jar?
ReplyDeleteWe'd be taking turns sitting on the hill above the garden with the .22!
Thank God I've got a bucket of .22 shells....
Extrapolating from that, the 'village' and 'community' in my immediate vacinity is a little lacking. Lots of older folks and I'm the only one with a large garden. It does make one start to think in expanded terms, there are many roles to fill.
You might be able to work a trade with one of the older folks who is a shooter. You supply the rabbits and a lawn chair in the shade. He gets to keep 3/4 of the rabbits he shoots to eat or trade.
DeleteSnares are a good option if you have a way to funnel the traffic. Winter time, when there is snow on the ground, is a good time to map out their preferred travel patterns.
1st off, thanks for the tip on washing. I'm not sure, but I think I would have done "dirtiest first b/c it needs to get cleaned". Shows the value of knowledge.
ReplyDeleteA lot of people seem to have some 18th century North American settler fantasy in their heads, and I say fantasy b/c what they really mean is Longhunter or mountain man and not the practical settlers. For Michigan/Midwest blog visitors with some reading time I recommend (hat tip to Townsends of course) browing "The Bark Covered House" for an account of just how hard scrabble living in even the most fertile area of the Midwest is in a settler mode.
Found a PDF download and just started it. Thanks for the recommendation.
DeleteJohn Wilder often makes the point that modern society is built on cheap energy. Remove the cheap energy, and everything takes much longer and likely less "modern" results.
ReplyDeleteOnce upon a time most towns had a semi-self sufficient mode, even if it was just one of several types of stores. Especially in modern times, that is not true. Cities being no better of course as they are dependent on external inputs.
Durn ERJ! You and the respondents to your site just give me more reasons to come back to your blog. Thanks all for the additional sites to visit.
ReplyDeleteI is confuse re baker's yeast vs. brewer's yeast: they aren't the same and the loaf results are catastrophically different. I found out the hard way, but by gawd, I ate my mistake!
ReplyDeleteThe discussion about laundry, while valid, skips the real point. We won't be wearing clean clothes as much. People are going to be grubbier. Used to be that a suit coat wasn't dry cleaned, it was just brushed clean to get the worst of the dust off. Kids will go barefoot in the summers, because shoes will be rare and expensive.
ReplyDeleteLife will change. Nobody will be able to maintain the same modern lifestyle. Even the very wealthy will have to hire servants to do the manual labor for them, just like they did in the old days.
Anyone who is not in the process or has not already accomplished the prepping necessary to insure an adequate and EASILY acquired source of clean water is probably not going to survive any type of collapse.
ReplyDeleteI look at it from a different direction. What do we need so that we can "survive with style"? In the laundry example, you're not going to have your fancy front loader, but it is possible to have clean clothes without electricity. There are any number of designs for a manual clothes washer. I probably have a dozen or so on various books, both physical or digital.
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