|One is well advised to avoid building campfires above coal seams.|
The oilfield today has nothing to do with declining production. Supply has simply outstripped demand and prices are lower. I know three or four companies that have stopped production entirely until price increases.According to Marvin Harris the role of technology is to define new resources. That is, technology can delay the inevitable conclusion of the resource exploitation/depletion cycle.
Actually, we've got more oil now than we ever had. The supply has increased exponentially over the past decade, in spite of Obama. In your star charts, you'd do well to increase the size of the star by a factor of six. We've got a hell of a lot more oil now than we believed possible 10 years ago.
In 1650, coal's value as a "resource" was as a third-rate building material. It was soft, it weathered quickly and was highly unsuitable as a material for building chimneys. The depletion of forests resulted in coal being re-defined as a fuel...a substitute for firewood. It was a much better fuel than a building material. Ancillary technologies developed to more efficiently extract coal. Economies that appeared to be on the brink of collapsing sprang forward an order of magnitude.
Fossil fuels have a bad reputation among the self-styled environmental experts.
|Haiti on the left side of image. Dominican Republic on the right. From Google Maps.|
As a side note: From a "carbon" footprint perspective, LP and kerosene are easy flames to direct and modulate. Consequently, less carbon was released to the environment burning those fuels than were released in Haiti, just across the border. The forests of the Dominican Republic continued to recover and sequester carbon.
Many parts of Haiti are blasted desert. Many parts of the Dominican Republic, just across the border, are recovering ecosystems. And the difference was the availability of fossil fuels.
The Dominican Republic may have only delayed the stresses on their ecosystem. I suppose that delays must be counted as victories. When the onslaught comes, the Dominican Republic will be able to meet it with deeper topsoil, more efficient wood stoves and better biomass tree species and management.