Thursday, October 3, 2019

Sometimes I cannot resist

Michigan Governor Gretchen Witmer holds her core constituents hostage in latest budget wrangling

I try to avoid political stuff. It just pisses off half the people. But sometimes I cannot resist.

Governor Witmer line-item vetoed transportation budget, for instance, in an effort to pressure legislature to increase spending. This used to be a sure-fire way to increase budget as MDOT would immediately close all of the highway rest stops. Now...there are fast food restaurants at every exit and it doesn't create as much...um...pressure on the drivers.

So how does it hurt her core constituents?

Fence separating I-496 right-of-way from the residential neighborhood it runs through. I suspect that there are many other places where the fence needs attention. I-496 opened in the late 1960s and I suspect this is some of the original fencing.
The photo was taken 340 feet from an elementary school. Incidentally, the photo was sent to multiple state legislators who passed it along to MDOT. The legislators informed me that road maintenance belongs to the Executive Branch, that is, to Governor Gretchen Whitmer.
For the record, the photo was taken in zipcode 48915, a zipcode that boasts both Martin Luther King Bldv and West Malcolm X Street. Based on yard signs, I believe zipcode 48915 voted overwhelmingly for Whitmer.

But, hey, African-American kids don't vote, neither do they make campaign contributions.

The Shrewd King 11.4: The other guy's moccasins

“What did you decide?” Gimp asked Quinn the next morning.

“I am in” Quinn said. “And I talked to Mike Prego and he is in, too.”

“First thing I wanna ask, what was different back in March and April? Why were you guys so good back then, and now...” Gimp let it trail off. He didn’t want to sound like he was criticizing.

“Back then, we were fighters. We moved. We practiced, red team-blue team. Now...” Quinn paused, trying to think of a comparison.

“Now we are like rent-a-cops at a self-storage place.” Quinn finished. “Anybody can do that.”

Gimp nodded his agreement. That squared with what he had seen.

“Put yourself in the shoes of the attacker. Assume they learned from what worked and didn’t work before. How would you attack us, knowing what you know now?” Gimp asked.

Quinn thought for a minute. “The first thing I would do is poison Fido” Quinn said, pointing at the camp dog.

“Then I would stage troops in vehicles nearby while I sent in scouts to kill the observation posts.” A small shiver ran up Quinn’s spine.

“How would you do that?” Gimp asked.

“I would do it at night or I would use a grenade during the day. Maybe put over-watch here” pointing at the sniper hide where they were talking “to pick off anybody the grenade didn’t get.”

“Then what?” Gimp asked.

“I would put a dozer blade on the lead vehicle to push the road block off the bridge.” Quinn said.

“No explosives?” Gimp asked, surprised.

“Nah, they would be afraid of damaging the road too much, plus it would make too much noise. They are going to count on surprise.” Quinn said.

“After pushing away the road block, I would send a bunch of armored vehicles through, maybe two or three to each target.” Quinn said. “It would be over before anybody had a clue.”

A grim assessment, but one that was close enough to Gimp’s that there was no point in quibbling over details.

Quinn shrugged. “I don’t know how to fix that.”

“Same way you eat an elephant” Gimp said. “One bite at a time.”

“The first thing you mentioned, ‘poison the dog’. Do you know what a muzzle is?” Gimp asked.

“Yah, that is like the mask a catcher in baseball wears.” Quinn said.

“A lot of them are. And I will work on getting some of those made. But you can also loosely tie a band around Fido’s jaws and keep him on a leash.” Gimp said.

Quinn shook his head. “Fido isn’t going to like that.”

“He will like getting poisoned even less.” Gimp noted, dryly. “He is here for a reason. He is a working dog. His uniform now includes a muzzle and a leash.”

“I also want you to start practicing red team-blue team.” Gimp said.

“No problem, as long as we can leave the observation post unmanned.” Quinn said. Quinn was looking forward to not having to be there.

“That is not going to fly.” Gimp said. “Chernovsky’s orders are that it be manned. We...you...have to find a way to man the observation post and practice red team-blue team.”

Quinn was shaking his head. There was just no way.

“We can add to Chernovsky’s orders but we cannot ignore them or disobey them.” Gimp said.

“Even if all you can manage is one reconnaissance patrol each day and have them check out potential staging areas, that is way better than being sitting ducks.” Gimp said.

Quinn was still shaking his head. He was asking for help and all he was getting was more assignments.

*

Ms. Sheridan organized and coordinated the efforts to get manure to, and on, the farmer’s fields.

The first priority was given to the piles of well-rotted manure that were closest to the farmer’s fields.

The composted manure was far easier to shovel on to hay wagons and easier to spread once at the field than any other material and it was available in gross amounts.

Ms Sheridan did not give the horse owner’s a choice. She said it was something that had to happen and nobody thought to push back. After all, it was just manure.

As in all endeavors, some men were gifted at shoveling shit while others were less gifted. The less gifted shoveled the shit onto the wagons. The more gifted shoveled it off and laid it out in even, six-foot long strips between the rows with each toss of the shovel.

Ms. Sheridan keep an eagle-eye on the proceedings and quickly deduced that spreading the manure on the fields was the bottleneck. She juggled resources and had two wagons spreading for every wagon being loaded.

There were only enough people pressed into service the first day to work on Farmer Ken’s fields.

The second day there was a steady stream of wagons servicing Farmer Ken, Don and Earl’s field.

Even more people were available on day three as they went to the Luke or Kate’s store and found no corn for sale.

The limiting factor shifted as the closest manure piles were depleted and the transportation part of the cycle took longer.

There were more horses available, even if they were not well trained for drayage. The problem was the shortage of harnesses. Ms. Sheridan strong-armed a couple of women who had re-upholstered furniture and a man who had laid carpet for a living. She had them adjusting old harnesses or making new harnesses from yellow tow-straps.

Meanwhile, she had the “volunteers” transporting composted manure in wheelbarrows. In the beginning, they complained loudly. It took them an hour to load the barrow and make each two-mile round trip.

Ms. Sheridan shut them up. “Every load you bring adds a bushel of corn to the harvest. Where else are find work where eight hours of work will net the community eight bushels of corn?”

In fact, Ms Sheridan had done the math and a 6 cubic foot load of manure netted closer to two bushels of corn but she didn’t want anybody to get too comfortable and to slack off.

Next

Wednesday, October 2, 2019

Quid Pro Mo'


The Shrewd King 11.3: When you are in a hole, stop digging

The lean, aggressive fighting force that Chernovsky had assembled over the course of four months had totally gone into the toilet in two months time. Arguably, the single most motivated and capable of fighters, Quinn Spackle, had also turned.

Unlike many of the other outposts, Spackle’s observation post may have been disorderly but it was not drunk. Spackle’s presence still counted for something.

Gimp didn’t think he could turn to Chernovsky. He was clearly over his head. Give him a target to hit or a punch-list to knock-out and he was the man. Ask him to chart a path out of the swamp..well, not so much. Chernovsky’s response was to exhort others to work harder, even if the ditch was running in the wrong direction.

As a youth, Gimp’s parents took him to church every Sunday. He absorbed lessons through his skin, even if he was not consciously listening. He took the parables in Luke 14 to heart about calculating the costs before building a tower and the wisdom of negotiating terms as soon as you realize your position is weak.

Gimp discussed his quandary with Larry Tomanica. Larry was old enough to remember the issues the US military had in the 1970s.

Gimp studied the problem, and then he acted.

“Mr Spackle, may I have a word with you in private?” Gimp asked.

Gimp led Quinn to one of the natural outposts that overlooked the observation posts, a location that Gimp had mentally tagged as a sniper hide.

“I am not accusing you of anything.” Gimp started out. “If I accused you of anything, then I would have to act on that and I don’t think that would be best for you, for me...or most important...good for the people we are protecting.”

Quinn was in full-defensive, backpedal mode. “Whatever it was, I didn’t do it.”

Gimp waved his hand dismissively. “This isn’t about what anybody did. It is about what we have to do.”

“Tell me, when you first started seeing zombies, how hard was it to kill them?” Gimp asked.

“Like shooting fish-in-a-barrel.” Quinn said. “Its not like we are all that smart, yet. But they were a whole lot dumber.”

“How about later on?” Gimp asked.

“They were tougher.” Quinn admitted. “We had to be at the top of our game and sometimes we had to call for backup.”

“And at the end, how about them?” Gimp asked.

Quinn was honest. “We were good. But we were also lucky. It could have easily turned out the other way.” he admitted.

“What would happen if those guys showed up today?” Gimp asked. That was the $63,000 question. Did Quinn have the mental capacity to appreciate the situation.

“We would be road-kill.” Quinn said, flatly. His face looked none too happy.

“Give me your assessment.” Gimp said, pleased that Quinn was on the same page.

“They would isolate and blow us away. If not us, then one of the other observation posts. They would convoy through with vehicles and take Pray Church, Kate, Pete and Steve’s store. Likely they would also secure the three big farms because that is where the food is.” Quinn said.

Except for the fact that Gimp expected the opposing force to shatter several observation posts and have multiple points-of-entry, that exactly matched Gimp’s fears.

“I think you are right.” Gimp said. “What are we going to do about it?”

Quinn’s face got all pouty. “I tried to tell Chernovsky but he just poo-pooed my concerns. I think we are screwed.”

Gimp’s face hardened. “Then you might as well just leave. They need people to shovel shit. We can make a difference if you can pull your head out of your ass.”

“The only way we are going to sell this is if we have a complete plan: Who, What, How, Where, When, Why. If we go piecemeal, it will sound like we are whining.” Gimp said.

“I want you to sleep on it. Why were you so good back in April and so weak now?” Gimp said.

Next

Tuesday, October 1, 2019

Quid pro quo

Quid pro quo, something for something else.

I watched 60 Minutes while staying overnight at Mom and Dad's.

The host was interviewing Republicans who supported Trump.

The host appeared to read from the transcript of the phone call.

The person being interviewed responded "That is not how the transcript reads."

The host inserted an extra word, "although" in the transcript.

It may have been subconscious. One of the difficulties of proof reading is that proficient readers insert words into sentences to make sense, even when that word is not in the text.

If you assume Trump is dirty and corrupt, then it "makes sense" to insert a word to link the two parts of the phone call.

If you assume Trump is not inherently dirty and corrupt, then you give him the benefit of the doubt.

Pelosi has played this game before. She did not even bother to read the transcript. She dismissed it, saying "We already know what it means."

One must wonder: Is Trump a simpleton or a genius?

The titans of Silicon Valley are already having second thoughts about their ability to control Warren and Sanders. They would be much, much happier with Biden, Buttigieg or Gabbard. If the Democrats lose the deep pockets of wealthy California billionaires then their path to the White House becomes much more difficult.

Maximizing value to the shareholders


It is generally accepted that the role of management is to maximize the value of the enterprise for the owners, that is, the shareholders.

It is the fiduciary responsibility for proxy holders like mutual funds, pensions and insurance companies to vote in accordance to the perceived best interest of the owners who entrusted those proxy holders with their funds.

Price Earnings ratio is the ratio between a company's profit and the value the aggregate market places on that company. Increases in profit generally result in the value going up by Profit * Price/Earning ratio.

For example: Apple currently has a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.7 and a market cap (value) of $1.02 trillion. If net profits were to increase by 8.84%, then the market cap can be expected to increase by $97 billion dollars.

The reason the P/E ratio is important is because every dollar/year in lost income is $18.7 in lost market value...money that does not show up in retirement accounts and pension fund balances.

Alphabet? The market cap would go up $83 billion if net profits were to rise 8.84%.

Amazon? The market cap would also go up $83 billion.

Those are the increases in market value, increases that would fall directly to the balance statements of retirees and savers if those three companies left California and reincorporated in a state that does not place income tax on corporations...states like Nevada, Ohio, South Dakota, Texas or Washington.

Our proxies are failing in their fiduciary responsibilities.

States like California like to claim that they create high value corporations because of their high taxes and high level of services. In fact, they have cause-and-effect reversed. States like California have high tax rates because they CAN levy high taxes.

The legislature in California counts on the apathy of our proxies when they raise corporate income tax levels. After all, it is not the proxy's money. H. Ross Perot once famously noted that GM's corporate board members, voted into office by proxies, were "pet rocks". That describes most board members.

Eventually, the proxies and board members will get off top-dead-center. They cannot claim San Francisco is a great place to do business because of "services".

Can you imagine the potential of a class action suit against board members and fund proxy voters? Their inaction destroyed $270 BILLION in value for just those three companies.

The Shrewd King 11.2: Bits and Pieces

The first full day that Quinn spent in the Waverly Road camp was an eye-opener for him.

He was going nuts when Squirrel came dancing into camp, whooping and hollering.

When Mike Prego saw what Squirrel had scored he did an end-zone happy-dance.

Quinn had phenomenal eyesight, even for a young man. He squinted at what Squirrel was carrying. It looked like a can of….hair spray, which was bizarre because all of the fighters got a buzz-cut at least once a week to control lice.

“What's up?” Quinn asked as Mike came close to the observation post.

“You gotta check this shit out.” Mike said. “Squirrel, he is fucking nuts.”

Quinn looked around. Nothing was moving in the hot, still early evening.

Quinn tagged along after Mike, down to the camp midden heap where food waste was tossed. Not surprisingly, it was crawling with flies and yellow jackets.

Squirrel handed out rubber bands to the assembled crew. “OK, you know the rules. Hitting an ambulance means you have to sit out for sixty seconds. Most dead tanks win.”

It meant nothing to Quinn.

Then Squirrel sidled up to the writhing mass of insects, ignited a butane lighter with his left hand and then activated the can of hair spray with his right. A six-foot gout of flame erupted from the can of hair spray which he played over the bugs. Many tried to fly away only to have their wings burned off of them.

Cooked flies must emit odors that are incredibly attractive to other flies. Immediately, the ones that could still fly buzzed over to the ones that were the most cooked.

Mike said, as an aside to Quinn, “Those are the helicopter ambulances. You don’t want to hit them.”

Indeed, if you did not know better, you could imagine that the “ambulances” were running IVs instead of sucking juices.

The flies that were ambulatory but not able to fly were tanks. Those were the targets

Young men are competitive. In the absence of meaningful activity they become doubly so. When the number of tanks dropped down, Squirrel made another flame-thrower run and things picked up for a while.

At the end of the evening, Squirrel shook the can of hair spray to see how much was in it. “This one is done.” he said as he tossed it atop the midden pile. "I will have to find another one tomorrow."

Quinn was hooked. He had come in second several times and even won one of the rounds.

***


Benicio had an over-population problem.

Before Ebola, Delta Township had a population density of approximately 1000 people per square mile. Ninety percent of the population had either died or moved elsewhere. That still left one-hundred people per square mile, which was almost twice as many as Benicio thought the land could support.

His method of dealing with the problem was to put everybody who crossed his organization into salvage crews. The surest way for a man and his family to fall afoul of Benicio's gangs was for the man to refuse to be an "enforcer" when offered the job.

The salvage crews entered vacant houses and removed valuables. It did not matter if their were bio-hazard corpses in the buildings. The choice was clear. Go into the building and rip it apart looking for gold, silver, weapons and other useful loot, or get shot on-the-spot.

After the first few protestors were shot in the head without ceremony, there were not more people protesting. And if they left Delta Township in the dark of night, well, that helped solve Benicio’s over-population problem.

About one house in ten held useful materials. The list of collectibles was extensive. For instance, it included hand-tools and textbooks and soap but it did not include copies of Fifty Shades of Whatever.


And of course, food and other perishables. After the house was tossed, a crew covered the bottom story windows and doors with sheets of plywood. They would come back later for a more thorough search after the biohazard diminished.

Benicio had almost no use for gems. Nobody was prepared to “value” precious stones.

Precious metals were entirely different. There was a ready market for gold and silver and enough people had the ability to judge the precious metal content. In most cases, the purity was stamped right into the item.

An unintended side effect of Benicio’s method for reducing the population is that it produced a stream of infected carriers back into the wild.

***

The sudden absence of corn in the markets forced chicken owners to let their birds free-range.

Some chicken owners were more successful than others in protecting the birds from predators.

Some factors were beyond the chicken owner's control. Yards that were bordered with thick brush suffered high losses. Others suffered losses from hawks, usually those with tall, dead trees nearby where raptors liked to "loaf".

The chicken producers who fared the best save a bit of corn to train their chickens to come into the coop each night. They also became inventive at moving the coop daily and setting the chicken yard fence every day to give them a new slice of lawn to tear up.

Some chickens were extremely casual about making the curfew. The most Darwinian of chicken ranchers started culling those birds and canning them. Better they should end up in a mason jar and on a human's dinner table than to provide food for coons, possum, coyotes, skunks, owls, fox, feral cats and who knew what else.

Vigilance was the key. Getting the chickens in the coop a half-hour before sunset and locking the door was key.

The best operators found an ol' man to ride shotgun the last hour before sunset. Literally, holding a shotgun waiting for opportunistic predators to show up. Pete arbitrarily put a three silver dollar bounty on raccoon hides and the carcasses made fine stew-meat. Three silver dollars was an enormous sum of money.

The ol' men sat with the sun to their back and were skilled at not moving. They let the sounds and motions flow around them, ever mindful for a few square inches of texture that were out-of-place, or a twitching of a tail, or a part of an ear hidden by brush and clocking around to follow the clucking of the bird or perhaps or the sudden scattering of the flock that indicated an airborne threat.

And if all the ol' man saw was a rabbit or woodchuck heading toward the garden, then he had a .22 he could pick up after he carefully put down the shotgun. A rabbit did not warrant an ounce of lead when a well placed 1/11th of an ounce would suffice. The other threats, however, got the full ounce of lead. A predator, unchallenged, could wipe out an entire flock.

The predators that were too rank for the stewpot were split open and fed to the chickens who happily turned skunks and possum into eggs.

Next