Friday, April 10, 2026

What does Israel want?

 

A map showing various ethnic groups in southern Iran

It is pretty clear that Israel, for reasons of their own, are sabotaging US efforts to a rapid conclusion to the military operation in Iran. Dropping a bomb on the home of the moderate Iranian who was negotiation with J.D. Vance was not a very subtle hint.

One reason for not wanting a rapid resolution is that Israel sees no path in which a viable "Iran" is not a mortal threat to Israel for at least two generations. That means removing the source of the funding for Iran's nuclear ambitions: Their Gulf Petroleum Revenues. The most likely solution that would be tolerated by Israel would be to parcel or "partition" the country now called Iran into many, weaker regions with those regions administered by other vested interest in the region.

That is not something that can be done quickly. 

Forgive the exceptionally crude graphics, but the marked up "map" is one concept. The dashed black line is through the center of the Persian Gulf. The solid red line separates the partitioned states from historic Iran. The solid yellow lines separate the partitioned states from each other.

The dark-green region (less the fertile plains of Dezful) at the top of the Persian Gulf becomes Kuwait-East. The pink, gray and light-green region southeast of Kuwait-East becomes a protectorate of the Saudis. The dark-green region southeast of that becomes a protectorate of the Arab Emirate and includes the north end of the Straits of Hormuz. The mostly orange region that is on the south end of the Straits of Hormuz becomes Balochistan and is a protectorate of Pakistan.

Regions on the west side of Iran to the north are also chipped away, Kurdistan and so on.

The precedents for this are the partitioning of Berlin after WWII and the fragmentation of the former Yugoslavia. 

4 comments:

  1. Seyed Kamel Kharazi was an advocate "for a long war with the US" according to his interview with CNN published on 09 March 2026"

    'Exclusive: Iran is ready for a long war with the US and only economic pain will end it, senior official tells CNN'
    By Frederik Pleitgen and Claudia Otto - March 9, 2026

    Money shot:

    “I don’t see any room for diplomacy anymore. Because Donald Trump had been deceiving others and not keeping with his promises, and we experienced this in two times of negotiations – that while we were engaged in negotiation, they struck us,” Kharazi told CNN on Monday.

    Dr. Kharazi was also despised by the Bahrainis, so Israel's targeted killing firmed up their developing alliance with the Arab Gulf state.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Since when is it our place to break up other countries?
    The Middle East was a far more peaceful place before we shipped a lot of terrorists there in 1948.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Israel did the same thing with Syria, now a head chopper that America once had a multi-million dollar bounty on wears fancy suits as "president of Syria" and shakes hands with President Trump.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/10/world/middleeast/syria-president-al-shara-trump-washington.html

    ReplyDelete
  4. You cannot "negotiate" with people whose ONLY reason for existing is to wage war against you...to kill you. And that is what the mullahs running Iran are. Fanatics who CANNOT be defeated. Merely killed. Any "peace" we negotiate with them will NOT be honored and Israel will be among the first to suffer if we relinquish and give the people running Iran time and room to reorganize, recover and rearm. Israel understands this. We need to.

    ReplyDelete

Readers who are willing to comment make this a better blog. Civil dialog is a valuable thing.