Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Great Chinese Famine. Will it happen here?

 

Demographic pyramid for ComChina. If you look at the branches for sixty-year-old you will see that those branches are much shorter. That corresponds people born around 1960.

A closer look. Each vertical line is one million people. Yellow shaded area approximates years of Great Chinese Famine. Missing people were either infant mortality, aborted, miscarried or parents unable-to-conceive.

The death-toll due to the Great Chinese Famine (1959-1961) is estimated to be 15 million to 55 million. Given that there are still approximately 15 million missing from the cohort who would have been born in that time-frame I  strongly advocate for the larger estimate.

Causes of the Great Chinese Famine

The primary cause of the Great Chinese Famine was that politicians dictated agricultural decisions. They dictated the number of seeds that were planted per acre (6X historic rates). They dictated how deeply the soil must be plowed (4X historic rates). They dictated the how the fields would be organized (no more private property). They dictated how much grain was to be retained at the local level (zero).

The death rate was exacerbated by local officials being afraid to communicate with their superiors. Very optimistic "theoretical yields" were not achieved after ideologically driven, and very stupid, decisions were made but officials were afraid to tell their superiors that they had been wrong. The local officials shipped grain out of production areas at levels that were consistent with the phantom surplus. In fact, there was no surplus but a significant shortage of grain production. Peasants starved.

This pattern lasted for three years.

Distilling the event into a single sentence: "The Great Chinese Famine was primarily caused by people in political power being unable or unwilling to accept data that was contrary to their expectations due to pride and/or fear of loss-of-face."

Today in the US

We have whack-a-doodles making crazy decisions about agricultural practices ranging from "the need to be carbon-neutral" to abandoning fossil fuels to curtailing the use of synthetic fertilizers and pesticides.

Cynics will point out that reducing the population is not a bug but a feature for those who identify as our Political Masters and Elites.

7 comments:

  1. The other scary part of the chart is the enduring male surplus for all ages born after 1957.. The obvious outcome of One Child thru the lens of the son-centric Chinese culture.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Sri Lanka is a good example of just this greenie "revolution" occuring recently.

    Did NOT go well.

    Yes, the Carbon they want to reduce is YOU.

    Once should listen when an threat speaks.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Am I the only one who is about ready to HL Menken the whole thing?

    ReplyDelete
  4. And here there are only 2 million farms, average age of farmers is 57.5 years, 95% white , mostly Christian, and most getting more pissed off every day. What could go wrong with that?---ken

    ReplyDelete
  5. I'll just agree with everybody else.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Even worse, the regime's sponsoring of the "migrant" invasion, for whatever evil reasons they are doing it, will turn us into South Africa or Rhodesia. I expect there will be widespread violence when the terrorist cells are activated.

    ReplyDelete

Readers who are willing to comment make this a better blog. Civil dialog is a valuable thing.