Progressives predict a blood-bath for conservative candidates during mid-term elections
Maybe so. History shows a tendency to swing back toward the party that lost power during the POTUS elections.
My opinion, one in 330,000,000, is that every politician in office should do "the right thing" to their best understanding of the desires of their constituents (not their donors), regardless of possible electoral consequences.
My reading of the tea-leaves is that inflation will be the primary issue of the mid-terms. Paying $6 for a six-ounce package of Fig Newton cookies is quite a shock.
The progressives will blame Trump's tariffs and the deportation of our slave labor illegal immigrants for the exploding prices. Conservatives will blame Biden and the legacy of regulatory strangling of productive enterprises as well as the gross budget deficits created by the progressive's entitlement programs.
Conservative's best chances of hanging onto a majority is to have a track record of taking a flame-thrower to non-value-added, regulatory chicken-shit. They need to show that they anticipated the issue and have been acting on it.
Last year, I drove to the countryside, pulled over at a farmers’ market, and had a long conversation with the husband and wife who ran the farm and the meat and vegetable stand. They talked of their struggles with the weather, of course, and dealing with the exigencies of nature.
Mostly, they spoke of the artificial struggles they face. They are hit relentlessly with tax on land, taxes on production, taxes on profits, taxes on everything. There are regulations too. They are prevented from selling directly to stores. They face grueling restrictions on meat processing. The health inspectors drive them nuts. They face constraints on wages, hourly restrictions on labor, and wrangle with bureaucrats constantly. Source (Hat-tip to Coyote Ken)
I don’t disagree with the challenges the farmers were facing, but I can go to the store and both afford and find eggs for breakfast now.
ReplyDeleteBeyond that, there are a lot of people really turned off by the democrats dancing in Charlie Kirk’s blood. I don’t think the typical pendulum swing is the only factor at play in the next go round… at least I hope not! I’d like to see the axle of the pendulum move a little further to the right, or possibly say the left has lifted it to a higher swing on their end and now its got a little further to swing to the right, if I’m stuck with you metaphor.
-In Muskegon
We are a year out and a lot can change. With The Donald hammering away 18 hours a day, you can bet a WHOLE LOT will change.
ReplyDeleteI am alarmed with the rise of the price of gold and silver in the last 60 days. It's not that metal is getting more expensive, it is that the dollar is losing value. (Inflation)
Store your wealth accordingly...
I looked at the silver prices yesterday! It takes a LOT more dollars to get an ounce of silver than it did the last time I bought some.
DeleteThe democrats are working on the idea that most voters have the memory of a squirrel.
ReplyDeleteFree stuff and No Kings (Trump man BAD) are all they have to "offer". Pity so few folks ever think WHERE that Free Stuff comes from. IE The Taxpayers Pocket OR WORSE DEBT and More DEBT.
Trumps efforts (ignoring the distractions of words) seems to be that of a businessman looking at bankruptcy and doing all he can to resolve it into a Orderly Re-organization instead of spending like drunken fools setting fiscal fires (Gay Rights SPENDING IN some African country? REALLY??) until the building falls in.
Pity almost half the government is ON the TAKE and fighting to protect their Grift, hand picking Judges to block everything they can as to keep the stolen money flowing.
I expect the "NON-Existent" AntiFa foot soldiers of the socialist democrats along with their current allies of the Religion of Peace will be along to create as much discredit Trump chaos as needed.
Pity they don't know Islam has words for useful idiots like them.
Taqiyya
https://www.thereligionofpeace.com/pages/quran/taqiyya.aspx
And GIVEN the socialist-democratic control of the media even Sharia law in NYC would somehow shown (LIKE IN ENGLAND) to be Good and Peaceful.
Someone wiser than I said the last gasps of Empires is when the rats are stealing all the shiny stuff and fleeing to their nests. That was back when shiny stuff was Gold and Silver aka money.
"Conservative's best chances of hanging onto a majority is to have a track record of taking a flame-thrower to non-value-added, regulatory chicken-shit."
ReplyDeleteExcept they aren't and they haven't....They are perceived ad DNC-lite....they ahven't really supported Trump either.
Asnd the people that vote know it, so they really don't see the RNC/Conservatives as a real vehicle for change.
I expect that there will, indeed, be a "bloodbath"
On predictions, what I keep coming back to is Kentucky’s 2024 voucher vote. Trump carried the state by nearly 30 points, yet that Republican-backed school voucher plan didn’t just lose — it was crushed in all 120 counties. That’s not a fluke; that’s voters quietly drawing a line. When political ideology starts threatening something close to home — their kids’ schools, their healthcare, their SNAP, or their rural hospitals — the MAGA armor cracks once the curtain closes. People might wear the red hat on the courthouse steps, but in the booth they’re voting to keep the ground from giving out under them. That tells me the next midterms won’t be about who yells loudest on cable news; they’ll hinge on who understands that difference between identity politics and kitchen-table survival.
ReplyDeleteThe ideological bubbles have become more tangible now. If you're not hearing news from the other side, it's because of those bubbles. You have to actively seek out those channels and listen to what the other side is telling their voters. You will find a very different set of messages.
ReplyDeleteDoubtful. Since the funding mechanism (taxpayer to the DNC via NGOs) is mostly shut down, they cannot fund the fraud (i.e., they have a voting base). And the longer the government remains shut down, the worse the problem becomes because whatever smaller funding exists remains locked up.
ReplyDeleteI, honestly, don’t know what this will mean as I have just as much faith and trust in the RNC as the DNC. Over time they have proven to be just two wings of the same vulture.
Historically, midterm elections favour the party out of power. That does not necessarily indicate some kind of major policy shift, but just as often that the opposition party is more motivated.
ReplyDeleteTo RJW's point above, people vote ultimately for their own interests. At this point in the time/space continuum, it is difficult to say what the key issues will be a year from now.
That’s really my point — Kentucky voters overwhelmingly elected Trump while just as overwhelmingly, and quietly, rejected a conservative/MAGA policy they knew wasn’t in their best interest, even after the airwaves were flooded with out-of-state special-interest money pushing it.
ReplyDeleteAs we head toward the next election, that same kind of reckoning could repeat itself. The reality of gutting Medicaid and SNAP will be right around the corner, along with price hikes driven by tariffs and a shrinking immigrant workforce.
I’m not arguing ideology here — just economics. “What’s in my wallet” has always been the deciding factor. What happened in Kentucky wasn’t theoretical, and this time, voters won’t be voting for or against Trump. They’ll be voting for what they can afford to lose.
Things would have to radically change to get a blow out or landslide, methinks. At this precise moment the Donks have alienated much of the working class, the kids, and even the women. They also seem to be bifurcating - the old guard hacks like Schumer and Pelosi vs the hard left in the form of AOC, Bernie and that moslem mudflap in New York. The mass media can no longer cover it up - they are taken seriously only by the geriatrics and morons these days. But whadda I know?
ReplyDeleteIf somehow we can get fair elections, it may be amazing how much of the D voting bloc is actually nonexistent.
ReplyDeleteHow is it Markshere, that under a Trump 45 watch, a Biden win was illegitimate but under Biden’s watch, a Trump win was fair?
DeleteI'll take a swing at it. Two words: transparency and scrutiny. Only one side of the political spectrum is actively working towards undermining that. A simple fact check reveals ballot box stuffing, voting machine hacking, and other irregularities - and who the perps are. But you know that, don't you?
DeleteIt's not rocket science. In any election there should be public scrutiny from BOTH parties. Any cheating by either side only results in one thing - constituents abandoning the ballot box and turning to the cartridge box.
While that is what typically happens, there are signs it may not happen this time.
ReplyDeleteFirst of all, look at the Republican vote in many Democrat area in 2024. In California, New York, New Jersey and other Democrat strongholds, Trump FAR outperformed Republicans going back decades.
Second, look at the change in voter registration: since the 2024 election, Democrat voter registrations have dropped by 5 million nationally, with most, though not all, switching to Republican.
Third, look at the generic ballot polls. At this point in 2017, Democrats lead by 8 to 11 percent. This time, they are ahead by less than 3 percent in most polls.
What are widely considered harbingers of the next house cycle are the New Jersey and Virginia elections next month: two months ago they were solidly Democratic; now it looks like the Republicans may sweep them.
All this to say that the Democrats do NOT have the traditional advantage. Could they win? Maybe. Will they? Who knows!
I'm not going to put money down on anyone at this point.
Jonathan
The reality is the left intends to engage in MASSIVE vote fraud next year and they are laying the propaganda groundwork to pretend their "wins" will be legitimate. Trump REALLY needs to end "mail in" voting, the lefts major method of fraud, and impose ID requirements to vote. Without a major overhaul of the current process the left WILL regain power and reverse the progress we have made.
ReplyDeleteThis....
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