If you follow the news like I do, you are totally perplexed by the shooting of two political figures in Minnesota.
The "facts" in the news articles would lead you to believe that the shooter "shared a room" with another man but was married to an attractive woman. He had a Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) that had lost funding after Trump/Musk spiked USAID but was a fervent MAGA supporter. Was a Democrat who was in Walz's good graces but was extremely pro-life. That he was a sophisticated "security professional" but left multiple manifestoes and target-lists laying about like a bachelor draping dirty socks on furniture.
One group's visual of potential nuclear targeting and nuclear fallout for WWIII. |
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The previous image is doom-porn. The actual fall-out pattern will depend (at least partially) on the jet-stream which is notoriously dynamic. |
The news reporting on Israel/Iran is even murkier. We could be 7 days away from WWIII and there is no way to tell.
So, what do you do if you are wandering through a section of the woods where you have never been before and your GPS starts babbling the Hokey-Pokey?
You pull out your compass. Or, if you don't have a compass then you start paying attention to the time and the position of the sun and the direction of the sounds of human activity. Failing that, you turn off the GPS and rely on your own, internal compass.
I now read the news for entertainment. I am running on inertial guidance and some very old books for my directions.
A modest proposal
I hesitated to bring this up because many of my readers dwarf my knowledge about this topic...but I haven't seen it mentioned on any of the blogs I frequent.
"Buying into the most common scenarios where you must employ a firearm to protect yourself is programing-to-fail."
The fix? Bring a buddy. If you must go to a known, hazardous environment then always bring a buddy. That includes baseball games, music festivals, ethnic festivals and so on.
This thought occurred to me while I read this article by Steve Tarani*.
Wolves hunt in packs. They often use the strategy of separating their intended target from the pack and then surrounding it.
Don't make it easy for the wolves.
I don't care if you have the shooting skills of Jerry Miculek. If three thugs get you into an alley on their own turf (or worse, you, your wife and your two, young grand-daughters)...then you will lose 99% of any gunfights you start. And if they don't like your looks, they can kill you with little risk to themselves whether you start a gunfight or not.
You can conjure up all kinds of scenarios where you can survive or even prevail. BUT...nearly all of those scenarios depend on the aggressors using suicidal-bad tactics and Divine good-luck.
Our mind's eye visualizes us in one-to-one confrontations where we have ample warning. That is a reasonable scenario if for a thief breaking into a "hardened" house but I don't think it is reasonable for the streets of the big city.
The US Military does not send highly trained, very-fit operators with body-armor into hazardous situations without at least one buddy. Snipers have a "buddy". CQB operators don't go alone. They are the professionals. And you think you can do better or will be luckier </sarc>.
Medical facilities
As we get older we become heavier users of medical care.
Some of that medical care is only available in big cities. Nearly all big-city hospitals have metal detectors that make carrying "a piece" into the building impossible.
Maybe you don't have a buddy who can spare the time to have-your-back for a trip to the hospital. Diagnostics can involve long periods of sitting in waiting rooms.
What can you do?
Maybe park your car on the outskirts of the city and call an Uber to drop you off at the door of the medical facility? Maybe you can have one buddy drop you off at the door and a different buddy pick you up.
Inconvenient? Well of course it is. But the decisions you make for speed, efficiency and convenience shave away the things that make you an undesirable target.
Maybe you can shop around and find a non-big-city source of the care you need. Some small town hospitals have "roving specialists" who show up on a regular, scheduled basis.
I am spit-balling here. I would love to have comments from the readers who live and breathe this topic. Don't hold back. If I am spewing BS, then say so.
*A tip of the hat to Coyote Ken for sending me the link to that article.
Regarding news...from the Middle East, from Minnesota...from pretty much everywhere. The only thing you can be sure of is the people reporting it are lying to some extent or another .
ReplyDeleteAs the old saying goes, don't go to stupid places, with stupid people and do stupid things. That will prevent the majority of negative social outcomes. The rest can be mitigated to an extent but fate has a say... and when it's your time it's your time.
Mark Twain said "if you don't read the news, you're uninformed; if you do read it, you're misinformed"
DeleteI read many sources with a skeptical eye. Some issues are easier to read between the lines and get an idea what is really happening - some aren't. For example, the reporting on Ukraine is so bad the only source I trust on it is the eyewitness accounts of a coworker who has actually been there.
Jonathan
Went to the bus depot to ship parts (an emergency) at 11 Pm. Guy started for me when I left the car until it was apparent I was much larger, and the wife hit the horn...similar guy on other side of door to the entrance was eyeing me. Security inside told me I missed the third guy in the ally, 25 feet away. fools and drunks, but who is who.
ReplyDeleteProvidence hospital is in Alaska’s biggest city. I ended up in the ER waiting room one Friday night. The seceurity detail included at least six armed men and a dog. I was telling a retired doctor friend who practiced in Detroit before moving to Alaska. She said it would have been more like 20 there and she personally carried a .45! Also she treated lots of gun shot wounds in her ER!
ReplyDeleteA number of years ago, almost 30, I had the fortune to experience Detroits Henry Ford Hospital at about 2am on a Sunday morning. My wife had been just brought down in an ambulance from Tawas where she had shattered her leg. Her leg took 3 plates and 14 screws to patch up. They were mopping up blood in the waiting room, there were bloody hand marks on the wall, Security was tight. Wife after surgery was on an orthopedics ward where there was a gang banger who’d been shot and was expecting retaliation. His gang dominated the ward and security was afraid to confront them. Fords has world class Doctors but being in Detroit sucks.
DeleteI'm re-reading Aldo Leopold's book "A Sand County Almanac" written about the time I was born. I find it "comforting". Also Hemingway's short stories. And I try to stay home with the dog and the chickens and my friends that drop by. Life is not what it used to be and I don't see it getting any better. ---ken
ReplyDelete"I don't care if you have the shooting skills of Jerry Miculek." And here I was, betting Jerry could take out 6 thugs! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WyIq9FdTgwM
ReplyDeleteMaybe you meant with a single shot?
How about this guy? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQ2dOsH5ggo
sam
I am not trying to argue, but there is a world of difference between a set-piece, scripted demonstration in a well-lit venue and trying to yank out a concealed carry piece in a dark alleyway with thugs in front of you and behind you and miscellaneous clutter in the foreground and background.
DeleteERJ
DeleteYou’re analysis and conclusions are about right. Good instincts, probably honed by working in manufacturing.
I misspent my youth taking the king’s schilling. As you note, the Benning School for Boys stresses always take a buddy wherever you go. So do all the clubhouses along Ardennes street at Bragg. As the good book says, if one should fall the other can lift him up. Jesus sent them out two by two for a reason; wise as serpents and gentle as doves.
Now I live in the gentle woods of the Kaw River Valley. My children have been drilled in never traveling alone and always making your commo window (they’re all Ham Operators). Those rules comfort their mother a great deal and keep the kids safe even when in the hunting fields.
I give scant attention to “news”. Politics and wars between nations are beyond my scope of influence. Still good to know the “rumors of wars” (mostly propaganda). Local events matter more and move more slowly. We do what we can and leave the rest to Him.
Inertial guidance... Old books.... I never heard the Spirit and scriptures called that before.
ReplyDeleteBut they are infallible guides.
"A friend" can sometimes have 4 legs. In my state, private party firearms sales are legal. 2 guys, at least 1 gun, and a wad of cash in a parking lot ain't the safest kind of transaction... My Malinois rides shotgun, window wide open, always sticks his head out. I smile and re-issue the 'stay' command (auf Deutsch), and tell a story about how he likes jumping out of the window.
ReplyDeleteYa know, I've never had a problem buying any of my guns this way?
Us old folks also have physical limitations, slower response and movements. I can shoot, but I can’t run or jump. Stay away from stupid people is right. I’m happy staying in my small circle, and limited ‘outside the perimeter’ trips. Ol’ Remus used to say ‘Stay away from crowds’. But medical care and some other necessities make travel required.
ReplyDeleteSouthern NH
An additional complication is when you are transporting a less-able parent or spouse. Your attention is already someplace else. An additional, alert adult tasked with over-watch is a reasonable thing to want. And...you have somebody to talk to in the waiting room while your spouse/parent is folded, mutilated, spindled and radiated.
DeleteTrusted friends and trusted family along with a strong faith in God gets you through times of troubles.
ReplyDeleteI noticed some decades ago that the Amish go shopping in English Land in groups. Buy in bulk for the group and go home in that group. Made them less of a target for youths and such.
Stories from my Grandmom about Weimar Germany where they went to church and came back to drunken youths idly stabbing their cow and setting fire to the barn. The police showed up and drove them off to clean up the mess.
Time is coming that someone you trust has to watch your home as your group shopping trip goes outside the perimeter.
"I now read the news for entertainment. I am running on inertial guidance and some very old books for my directions." Same ERJ, same. Financial news is probably the one I pay the most attention to; everything else is background noise, a sort of theater which I anticipate has nothing to do with the truth.
ReplyDeleteI will note that sometimes where such things as medical offices and hospitals and other things can have an impact as well. The main hospital in my town is on the rather sketchy side of downtown. If I need to go, I will look for a "less sketchy" location.
I was the attempted target of a "training mission" a few year ago.
ReplyDeleteDusk. Suburban area, shopping center parking lot. A few cars with for sale signs on them out by the road. I stopped to look at them, my wife in driver seat in our car. While I was distracted, writing down a phone number, a guy walked up apparently out of nowhere, "nice, car, yeah? "this your car"? he was about 20 feet away. Something was wrong. Felt wrong. I pivoted, very quickly saw guy # 2 standing about 30 feet away to my rear, and the big Lincoln that had quietly carried them in parked 75 feet away with kids in the back looking at us. A couple quick steps to the car and "Go! Now! and we were out of there. I guess the tone of voice short-circuited the normal questions.
My lessons- trust your gut, get off the X asap, and interrupt the opponents OODA loop.
This was not a high crime area, btw.
In 1979, the U.S. Congress' Office of Technology Assessment produced a study 'The Effects of Nuclear War'. Chapter II projected the effects of nuclear attacks on Detroit and Leningrad (now Saint Petersburg). It goes through all the consequences for these two cities, beyond just fallout.
ReplyDeleteThe study is still available online in part or whole from Princeton University's OTA Archive.
I would respectful submit if you know there is going to be an armed confrontation, you start the festivities. Action beats reaction and your opponent may not suspect a violent attack from you, giving you some advantage. I would also recommend not taking love ones down dark alleys.
ReplyDeleteI once found the 1970s Lansing nuclear civil defense plan in the MSU library. Basically, they were going to evacuate the then 200,000 plus population of Lansing into the 1400 population of Olivet in the next county. It was pretty clear they had no real plan.
ReplyDelete