tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post69034101659147788..comments2024-03-28T07:39:54.075-04:00Comments on Eaton Rapids Joe: Topics in PsychologyEaton Rapids Joehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09102166969915526172noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post-50857777684490970982015-11-23T06:30:43.864-05:002015-11-23T06:30:43.864-05:00Very interesting thoughts ERJ. One of my favorite...Very interesting thoughts ERJ. One of my favorite papers is on estimating ranges by Capen, back in the 1960s. He found that so-called experts tend to set ranges too narrow to model the true ranges of uncertainty because of overconfidence, while novices are not burdened by that issue. 6ShotsOr5?https://www.blogger.com/profile/01708622798619359182noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post-69461261241093901492015-11-22T21:32:17.723-05:002015-11-22T21:32:17.723-05:00All good ones, and people PAY for those papers... ...All good ones, and people PAY for those papers... :-)Old NFOhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16404197287935017147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post-35348920826048562292015-11-22T21:32:11.684-05:002015-11-22T21:32:11.684-05:00All good ones, and people PAY for those papers... ...All good ones, and people PAY for those papers... :-)Old NFOhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16404197287935017147noreply@blogger.com