It is idle curiosity, but I wonder what the Chinese policy makers think of the Houthi blowing up the infrastructure supporting the trans-Saudi pipeline. That pipeline diverts oil from the oil fields near the Persian Gult to a port on the Red Sea.
China has been playing both sides of the street. Buying oil from whoever will sell it while propping up the Iranian military complex with components that can be used for missiles. I suspect that the military support came with some caveats; specifically that they would not target oil destined to China.
If so, China is learning that Iran's promises are not very reliable. The reasons it is not reliable are not important. The point is that repeated shocks to oil availability are grinding away at the myth of Chinese ever-onward-and-upward.
On a related front, Britain continues to supply Zelensky with missiles with enough range to hit oil infrastructure deep within Russia. While this is suicidal for the greater, European economy it is less damaging to the U.K. economy. Relatively speaking, Johnny Bulldog can rub Hans Pinscher's nose in the ground with little risk to to his own skin.
Meanwhile, elements of the international, deep-state supply Zelensky AND Iran with targeting information. Occam's Razor implies that they want total chaos and, perhaps, WWIII.
Even slackers sometimes touch upon the truth
My paternal grandmother once commented, quite dryly, that a fellow who can eat cornmeal mush with a cheerful face will never go hungry. She grew up dirt-poor near Allegan County's Little Rabbit River. She learned to speak English when she went to Kindergarten. Her husband, my paternal grandfather, died when she was 33 and left her with a child just as The Great Depression was about to experience the second crash (1937).
Thoreau, a slacker of the highest order, observed that the wealth of a man is proportional to the number of items that he doesn't crave. Proof that even slackers sometimes say something wise.
Craving and envy leads us into debt. Debt is the currency of the slave. Envy makes us do stupid things. Desire for status makes us do even stupider things.
Folks who grew up hard-scrabble will almost certainly do better in hard-times than the mama's-boys. The mama's-boys will go to the relocation camps and be surprised when the toilets back-up and they are not allowed to leave. The hard-scrabble boys won't leave their neighborhood. They might move in with a buddy, a brother or an uncle but they do the calculus of "It is hard here where I have resources and people know me. Why do I assume it will be better elsewhere?".
The calculus shifts if you have a solid job-offer elsewhere...but getting moved to a random sports stadium or to camps...not so much.
A concrete suggestion
Eat a bowl of plain oatmeal or cornmeal mush* tomorrow for breakfast tomorrow morning. Have one hardboiled egg (salt is optional) and an apple on the side. For beverage, have black coffee or tea or water. Take any medicines that you have to take.
That is all it takes to reset your expectations. Doing something very simple and doing it voluntarily. If you find yourself forced into that kind of austere simplicity, you can shrug your shoulders and say, "Been there. Done that" and get on with life.
* Bring one cup of water to a boil in a pan. In a separate container, add a half cup of cornmeal and a half cup of water. Stir contents of the container until it is well mixed and then pour it into the boiling water. Stir contents of the pan continuously until the water returns to a boil. Remove from heat and cover the pan. Let sit about five minutes. Serve.
Funny... I used to drink my coffee light and sweet. I started getting away from (refined) sugar for a lot of reasons, and started experiencing exactly what you mention? Some of the littlest things give me great joy.
ReplyDeleteThe ready-made cornmeal mush sold in most stores isn't too bad.
ReplyDeleteSlice it, dredge the slices in flour and fry in butter or margarine and serve it with maple syrup.
I've had considerably worse, and as they say, it sure beats nothing.
The upcoming sportiness will level the playing field. It'll also shatter a lot of illusions...
ReplyDeleteThat's a lot of wisdom for a single posting. Well done, Joe. ---ken
ReplyDeleteERJ, I might commend the Stoic Philosopher Epictetus to your attention, especially his work The Enchridion (The Handbook) which has many of the same ideas (but was not a slacker by any means). The words by his student Arrian more fully develop some of those ideas.
ReplyDeleteTo your first point, I cannot imagine the Chinese taking kindly to having their resources impacted by technology they provided.
Given that Sec of the Treasury Bessent is busy jamming up Chinese banks and China has coal to oil processing factories.
DeleteChina is selling diesel to Taiwan and Japan so they seem to be doing well in oil.
Maybe China wants some economic pain for America.
BTW for all the talking about restocking of our missiles I noticed that China hasn't shipped a kilogram of the required rare earths required for them.
A bit like those F150 trucks built but waiting for the computer chips needed.
Michael the anonymous
Coal-to-oil requires a lot of infrastructure that is not there for a flip-of-the-switch transition. There may be plants that do it, but they don't exist at the scale required to cushion the severity of the crunch.
DeleteChina does want the US to feel pain.
Xi is at the top of the food-chain because he is both ruthless and because his ear is close to the ground. He is finely tuned into the complicated social contract that keeps him precariously balanced at he top of the greasy, bloody pole that is Chinese Politics.
A simple example: China is by far the largest harvester of protein from the ocean. China grinds it up and feeds it to domestic aquaculture. If you look at aerial images starting at North Korea and chain your way down the coast, much of the coastline is "farmed" and the fish are fed the factory harvested, not-very-high-quality catch.
The fishing fleet is VERY heavily subsidized because that is one of the implicit promises that keeps Xi in power, every year a better diet with more fat and more protein. Covid gave him a boost by dropping the population but that trick is about played out just about the time fertilizer shocks will decrease grain harvests.
There are other upheavals causing disorder in China. Robots are displacing factory workers. "Knowledge workers" are being displaced by AI and the economic realities are causing marginal performers to be released and they are moving back to rural villages.
I am not a China expert. Even people who really are experts in China will share, when totally honest, that it is a very difficult culture to predict future events in.
Coal liquification in China dates back to the Japanese occupation of Manchuria. The Chinese still operate the erstwhile Japanese plants and have added about 4 million tons of Fischer-Tropsch capacity since 2000. The Japanese CTL technology, which the Chinese still use, was originally licensed from Kaiser Wilhelm Gesellschaft in the 1920's.
DeleteChina’s Coal‑to‑Oil Production Capacity
DeleteChina’s coal‑to‑oil (coal‑to‑liquid) capacity is still relatively small compared to its total coal use, but it is expanding rapidly — with new projects and planned expansions that could more than double output in the next few years
The Institute for Energy Research
.Current scale
According to the China National Petroleum and Chemical Planning Institute, in 2024 China converted about 276 million tonnes of coal annually into oil, natural gas, and chemicals
The Institute for Energy Research
This was enough to replace only roughly 6% of the country’s imported crude oil and gas that year
China’s Share of Oil from Iran
In 2025, China imported about 900,000 barrels per day of crude oil from Iran — roughly 7% of its total oil imports — and accounted for over 80% of Iran’s crude exports.
10 x 25 mm has newer information than the above. Seems China when directed by Xi can indeed build factories (plants) rather quickly.
My parents also grew up in the Depression, Dad was in WWII. They always had food, but it was not easy by any means. I think, I hope, many of our generation heard the stories, and saw our parents doing anything necessary to keep body and soul together. I hope that gets passed down to younger people.
ReplyDeleteI do feel bad for some people with dietary issues. Eating the right food for their health could be a big problem, if not much is available.
Southern NH
Now turn your attention to the home brewing of isopropyl alcohol
ReplyDeleteHow is this preferable to ethanol? Or even methanol? Both far easier to produce.
DeleteA bowl of cornmeal mush is a challenge to choke down without milk, sugar/honey/maple syrup.
ReplyDeleteBTW, cornmeal is made from grinding popcorn kernels, not regular corn. Just an FYI for everyone's apocalypse files.
Does eating regular Cherrio cereal with tap water count ? I LOVE cornbread, so I'm guessing cornmeal shouldn't be a huge deal.
ReplyDeleteJust add a little butter and grated cheese to your cornmeal mush and you have polenta, the very tasty dish of the Northwestern Italian poor folks.
ReplyDeleteAmen, the basis of many a fine meal. Just add a side of fried tree rat or ground hog.
DeleteSeriously my family stories and diaries of the Great Depression pointed out how folks that trapped, snared small game and grew some flour corn made out pretty well.
My wife’s grand mother told me about eating skunks coons. An old lady at the grocery store told me lynx cat was some great eating when we got chatting in Delta Alaska back in 88!
DeleteChina is asshoe....always has been. And they have been waging an asymmetrical war against the US and the West for decades.
ReplyDeleteHardship is like weight lifting. It makes you stronger. And we haven't had enough of it for a long time. We are now paying the price for that fact.
Dan, China is asshole?
DeleteReally, please point out last time China started a war for Israel or to be fairer any other country?
When is the last time China bombed civilian infrastructure and did blockades intended to starve out a nation?
Uyghurs
DeleteDon't forget Chinese naval vessels ramming Filipino Coast Guard vessels in Filipino territorial waters. There is video of that.
DeleteA fried egg (or two) on a bowl of plain oats is one of my favorite breakfasts as of late!
ReplyDeleteAs far as Thoreau being a slacker, I am looking on my shelf at his books, Faith in a seed, and Wild Apples both of which are enjoyable to read.
ReplyDeleteI have built lots of things, none of the will last.
Yeah... when the fruits of your labor will be taken from you and used to support peodvores, it's hard to fault "slacking".
DeleteBuy stuff. Repair/Improve. Trade for more stuff. Don't tell anyone what you're doing. Then you can be productive without subsidizing evil.
Exactly. (rich)
ReplyDeleteHad oatmeal for breakfast, we fried the apples for a topping, black coffee, a little butter and brown sugar on the apples.
ReplyDeleteOne of us is allergic to corn so oatmeal instead.
Delete