tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post971684688884082319..comments2024-03-28T10:28:26.443-04:00Comments on Eaton Rapids Joe: America in crisis: Reality or Manipulated Perceptions?Eaton Rapids Joehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09102166969915526172noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post-8854080127308034112017-02-05T00:34:03.699-05:002017-02-05T00:34:03.699-05:00Also, I see them post numbers for cities like Chic...Also, I see them post numbers for cities like Chicago, from last year in January, and then this year in January, and then extrapolate that somehow homicides are up so many %. Like you say, totally meaningless numbers. Taken as a running total of a larger number of months, or as a year to year comparison, it might have some significance. Done like this, as is the way that I see some in the media, both the right and the left, doing it, and the only thing that it proves is that the one using the statistics is trying to prove something and is cherry picking numbers in order to do so. Wait, I have heard the climate scientists accused of doing the same thing. Must be a coincidence.pigpen51https://www.blogger.com/profile/01036907880805485560noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post-75138916418892204622017-02-03T12:01:43.223-05:002017-02-03T12:01:43.223-05:00Understood, but you and I both know that data isn&...Understood, but you and I both know that data isn't available on a timely basis.Old NFOhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16404197287935017147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post-81931420900091196612017-02-02T18:03:01.070-05:002017-02-02T18:03:01.070-05:00It is not that monthly reports are useless, it is ...It is not that monthly reports are useless, it is that most people try to read more into them than is actually in the data. They want to make a stink about a 5% or 10% up-tick when they need about a 30% up-tick to be significant.<br /><br />I wish I had the FBI data per-100,000 data broken down by month for Jan-2001 through most recent. It would also be grand if it were broken down by urban/non-urban counties. I would have a lot more confidence about making 90% confidence guesses.Eaton Rapids Joehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09102166969915526172noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2970975545475697571.post-20543293178080401842017-02-02T15:40:06.077-05:002017-02-02T15:40:06.077-05:00That is the last thing the emoticons want is someo...That is the last thing the emoticons want is someone using actual facts... Doesn't fit the agenda, even with the error bars. And concur, monthly reports are pretty much useless!Old NFOhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16404197287935017147noreply@blogger.com